Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 63%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 16.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for The New Saints in this match.