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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Sep 20, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside Stadium

Connah's Quay
1 - 0
Pen-y-Bont

Owens (31')
(45'), (68'), (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

(52'), (79')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Pen-y-Bont.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawPen-y-Bont
48.07%24.63%27.31%
Both teams to score 55.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.6%47.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38%69.62%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.22%19.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.17%51.84%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67%31.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3%67.7%
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 48.06%
    Pen-y-Bont 27.31%
    Draw 24.62%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 8.14%
3-1 @ 5.1%
3-0 @ 4.4%
3-2 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 48.06%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 6.2%
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.19%
1-2 @ 6.76%
0-2 @ 4.17%
1-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 27.31%


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