Newtown
1 - 1
Aberystwyth

Mitchell (86')
O'Neill (39'), Mitchell (68'), Mills-Evans (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

J (35')
Thorn (59'), Roberts (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Aberystwyth Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFC	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
43.05%	25.09%	31.86%

Both teams to score 56.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.94%

47.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.7%

69.3%

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16%

21.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.93%

55.08%

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.03%

27.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.4%

63.6%

Score Analysis

Newtown AFC 43.05%

Aberystwyth Town 31.86%

Draw 25.09%

Newtown AFC	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 9.29% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 7.07% 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-0 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.05%	1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.11% 2-2 @ 5.74% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 7.78% 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 4.96% 1-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.86%