SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Valerenga Women had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Valerenga Women win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Valerenga Women |
46.19% ( 0.2) | 24.86% ( -0.05) | 28.95% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 55.5% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.6% ( 0.13) | 47.4% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.38% ( 0.12) | 69.62% ( -0.12) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.42% ( 0.14) | 20.58% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.89% ( 0.22) | 53.11% ( -0.22) |
| Valerenga Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% ( -0.04) | 30.13% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.73% ( -0.05) | 66.27% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Valerenga Women |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 46.19% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.16% Total : 28.95% |
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