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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 24, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Estadi Johan Cruyff

Barcelona
3 - 0
Bayern Munich

Ferreira (48'), Bonmati (60'), Pina (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Rosengard 1-4 Barcelona
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Benfica 2-3 Bayern Munich
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Barcelona Women 3-1 Bayern Munich Women

Although Bayern Munich have won their opening two games, we think that Barcelona will demonstrate their credentials as potential Champions League winners by beating the German side on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 80.57%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Bayern Munich Women had a probability of 6.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.34%) and 1-0 (11.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.33%), while for a Bayern Munich Women win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
Barcelona WomenDrawBayern Munich Women
80.57% (0.73 0.73) 13.41% (-0.335 -0.33) 6.02% (-0.392 -0.39)
Both teams to score 39.59% (-1.113 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.34% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)39.66% (0.109 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.99% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)62.01% (0.116 0.12)
Barcelona Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.28% (0.13799999999999 0.14)7.72% (-0.1359 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.5% (0.35199999999999 0.35)27.5% (-0.349 -0.35)
Bayern Munich Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.9% (-1.272 -1.27)57.1% (1.275 1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.91% (-0.727 -0.73)89.09% (0.729 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona Women 80.57%
    Bayern Munich Women 6.02%
    Draw 13.41%
Barcelona WomenDrawBayern Munich Women
2-0 @ 14.46% (0.27 0.27)
3-0 @ 12.34% (0.31 0.31)
1-0 @ 11.29% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.169 -0.17)
4-0 @ 7.9% (0.253 0.25)
3-1 @ 6.92% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-1 @ 4.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-0 @ 4.05% (0.156 0.16)
5-1 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.106 -0.11)
6-0 @ 1.73% (0.078 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.059 -0.06)
6-1 @ 0.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 80.57%
1-1 @ 6.33% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.27% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 13.41%
0-1 @ 2.47% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-2 @ 1.77% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 6.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rosengard 1-4 Barcelona
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 9-0 Benfica
Wednesday, October 19 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 1-3 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-0 Barcelona
Saturday, April 30 at 5pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 5-1 Wolfsburg
Friday, April 22 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 5-2 Real Madrid
Wednesday, March 30 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Benfica 2-3 Bayern Munich
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Bayern Munich 2-1 Rosengard
Wednesday, October 19 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: PSG 2-2 Bayern Munich
Wednesday, March 30 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Bayern Munich 1-2 PSG
Tuesday, March 22 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Bayern Munich 1-0 Lyon
Wednesday, November 17 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Bayern Munich
Wednesday, November 10 at 8pm in Women's Champions League


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