Less than three weeks ago, Barcelona swept past Real Madrid at home in the league with the hosts winning 5-0 on that occasion, and with a capacity crowd set to fill Barcelona's iconic arena on Wednesday, we expect the current Champions League holders to demonstrate why they are favourites to retain their European crown this term.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Real Madrid Femenino win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.
