Although we expect Wolfsburg to present their hosts with a stiff test, Barcelona have demonstrated over the last couple of seasons that they are a step ahead of the competition, and we think that they will emerge victorious once again on Friday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Wolfsburg Women had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Wolfsburg Women win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.
