Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 50.34%. A win for Barcelona Women had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Barcelona Women win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.