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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
FC Bayern Campus Platz 1

Bayern Munich
1 - 1
Ajax

FT(HT: 1-1)
Grant (38')
Hoekstra (35'), Yohannes (40')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Bayern Munich
Thursday, November 23 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Roma 3-0 Ajax
Thursday, November 23 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Bayern Munich Women 2-1 Ajax Women

Having won six of their last seven competitive matches, we think that the hosts will have the extra quality required to beat an Ajax side that have won just one of their last four games (D1, L1). Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich Women win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Ajax Women had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Ajax Women win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Bayern Munich WomenDrawAjax Women
38.71% (-0.284 -0.28) 23.87% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 37.42% (0.297 0.3)
Both teams to score 61.96% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.77% (0.085000000000001 0.09)40.23% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.39% (0.085999999999999 0.09)62.6% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Bayern Munich Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)20.97% (0.099999999999998 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.27% (-0.156 -0.16)53.72% (0.153 0.15)
Ajax Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.4% (0.18600000000001 0.19)21.6% (-0.189 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.3% (0.285 0.28)54.7% (-0.288 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich Women 38.71%
    Ajax Women 37.42%
    Draw 23.87%
Bayern Munich WomenDrawAjax Women
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.07% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 38.71%
1-1 @ 10.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.87%
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.94% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.32% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.025 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 37.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Bayern Munich
Thursday, November 23 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Bayern Munich 2-2 Roma
Wednesday, November 15 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 2-0 Bayern Munich
Wednesday, March 29 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Bayern Munich 1-0 Arsenal Women
Tuesday, March 21 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Bayern Munich 2-0 Benfica
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Rosengard 0-4 Bayern Munich
Thursday, December 15 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Roma 3-0 Ajax
Thursday, November 23 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Ajax 2-0 PSG
Wednesday, November 15 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Zurich
Wednesday, October 18 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Zurich 0-6 Ajax
Wednesday, October 11 at 7pm in Women's Champions League


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