SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax Women win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Roma Women had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.33%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Roma Women win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Roma Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma Women | Draw | Ajax Women |
36.76% ( 0.73) | 24.04% ( -0.28) | 39.2% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 61.28% ( 1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.91% ( 1.46) | 41.09% ( -1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.52% ( 1.47) | 63.49% ( -1.46) |
| Roma Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.68% ( 1.05) | 22.32% ( -1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.2% ( 1.55) | 55.8% ( -1.54) |
| Ajax Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( 0.42) | 21.1% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.06% ( 0.65) | 53.94% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma Women | Draw | Ajax Women |
| 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.76% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.32)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.4)0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.75% Total : 39.2% |
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