SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for FC Twente Women had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest FC Twente Women win was 2-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Chelsea Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea Women.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
25.86% ( 0.21) | 22.85% ( 0.64) | 51.29% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 59.79% ( -2.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.41% ( -2.84) | 40.59% ( 2.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.03% ( -2.97) | 62.97% ( 2.97) |
| FC Twente Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( -1.35) | 28.86% ( 1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.27% ( -1.71) | 64.73% ( 1.71) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.04% ( -1.3) | 15.95% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.76% ( -2.45) | 45.24% ( 2.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
| 2-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.52)2-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.4% Total : 25.86% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.57)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.71)0-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 5.9% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.3)1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.24)0-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.22)1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.58% Total : 51.29% |
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