SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 67.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 3-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
67.37% ( -0.83) | 17.72% ( 0.25) | 14.91% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 59.7% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.73% ( 0.09) | 32.26% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.13% ( 0.1) | 53.87% ( -0.1) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.16% ( -0.16) | 8.83% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.72% ( -0.39) | 30.27% ( 0.4) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.48% ( 0.81) | 34.51% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.77% ( 0.85) | 71.23% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)6-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.23% Total : 67.37% | 1-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.26% Total : 17.72% | 1-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.47% Total : 14.91% |
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