SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
44.37% ( -1.55) | 23.74% ( 0.66) | 31.89% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 61.03% ( -1.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.13% ( -2.76) | 40.86% ( 2.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.74% ( -2.88) | 63.25% ( 2.87) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.29% ( -1.71) | 18.7% ( 1.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.94% ( -2.95) | 50.06% ( 2.94) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( -0.81) | 24.93% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.43% ( -1.14) | 59.56% ( 1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.55)2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.32)3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.31)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.27)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.22)Other @ 3.47% Total : 44.37% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.56)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.65)0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.89% |
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