SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 54.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Benfica Women had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Benfica Women win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon Women | Draw | Benfica Women |
54.5% ( 0.45) | 23.72% ( 0.13) | 21.78% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 52.08% ( -1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.45% ( -1.19) | 48.54% ( 1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.33% ( -1.1) | 70.66% ( 1.09) |
| Lyon Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.29% ( -0.27) | 17.7% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.64% ( -0.47) | 48.35% ( 0.47) |
| Benfica Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.28% ( -1.23) | 36.71% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.49% ( -1.25) | 73.5% ( 1.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon Women | Draw | Benfica Women |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.56% Total : 54.49% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.71% | 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.75% Total : 21.78% |
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