SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica Women win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Rosengard had a probability of 37.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Rosengard win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica Women | Draw | Rosengard |
38.23% ( -2.46) | 23.89% ( -0.31) | 37.88% ( 2.78) |
| Both teams to score 61.91% ( 1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.7% ( 1.79) | 40.3% ( -1.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.32% ( 1.82) | 62.67% ( -1.82) |
| Benfica Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% ( -0.4) | 21.23% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.87% ( -0.62) | 54.13% ( 0.62) |
| Rosengard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.59% ( 2.26) | 21.4% ( -2.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.6% ( 3.37) | 54.4% ( -3.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica Women | Draw | Rosengard |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.33) 1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.69)2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.61)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.35)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.73% Total : 38.23% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.18)0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.39)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.34) 0-1 @ 7% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.44)2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.31)0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.32)1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.27)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.19)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.69% Total : 37.88% |
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