Benfica proved in their 4-4 draw with Barcelona that they can go toe-to-toe with the best teams in Europe, but while that result may inspire confidence among the home squad, we think that they could be edged out by a Lyon side that has won 11 of their 12 away matches this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 67.14%. A win for Benfica Women had a probability of 16.97% and a draw had a probability of 15.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.55%) and 2-3 (5.57%). The likeliest Benfica Women win was 2-1 (3.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon Women in this match.

Result
Benfica Women	Draw	Lyon Women
16.97% ( -0.05)	15.88% ( -0.01)	67.14% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 72.99% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

81.46% (

-0.04)

18.54% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

64.02% (

-0.06)

35.98% (

0.05)

Benfica Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.14% (

-0.07)

22.85% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.41% (

-0.11)

56.58% (

0.11)

Lyon Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.61%

5.38% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.88%

21.11% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Benfica Women 16.97%

Lyon Women 67.14%

Draw 15.88%

Benfica Women	Draw	Lyon Women
2-1 @ 3.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 1.82% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.34% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 16.97%	2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 5.31% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 15.88%	1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.55% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 4.07% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 3.22% ( 0) 2-5 @ 2.38% ( -0) 0-5 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 2% ( -0.01) 1-6 @ 1.57% ( 0) 3-5 @ 1.17% ( -0) 2-6 @ 1.16% ( -0) 0-6 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 4.24% Total : 67.14%