SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Paris Women had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Paris Women win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Paris Women |
40.89% ( 0.06) | 23.99% | 35.12% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.24% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.95% ( -0.01) | 41.05% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.56% ( -0.01) | 63.44% ( 0.01) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.71% ( 0.02) | 20.29% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.34% ( 0.04) | 52.66% ( -0.04) |
| Paris Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.83% ( -0.04) | 23.17% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.95% ( -0.06) | 57.05% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Paris Women |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 40.89% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 35.12% |
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