SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 80.26%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Benfica Women had a probability of 6.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.06%) and 0-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.09%), while for a Benfica Women win it was 1-0 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica Women | Draw | Barcelona Women |
6.85% ( -0.1) | 12.89% ( -0.17) | 80.26% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 46.88% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.89% ( 0.47) | 33.1% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.15% ( 0.54) | 54.84% ( -0.54) |
| Benfica Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.07% ( 0.08) | 49.92% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.39% ( 0.05) | 84.6% ( -0.05) |
| Barcelona Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.61% ( 0.15) | 6.39% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.04% ( 0.41) | 23.96% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica Women | Draw | Barcelona Women |
| 1-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 6.85% | 1-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.7% Total : 12.89% | 0-2 @ 12.06% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 11.06% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.14)1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 7.69% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 7.61% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 5.29% ( 0.06)0-5 @ 4.19% ( 0.07)1-5 @ 2.91% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)0-6 @ 1.92% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)1-6 @ 1.33% ( 0.04)2-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.53% Total : 80.25% |
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