SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for St Polten Women had a probability of 23.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a St Polten Women win it was 1-0 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Polten Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
23.64% ( -0.14) | 25.01% ( 0.01) | 51.35% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 50.41% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.11% ( -0.16) | 51.89% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.36% ( -0.14) | 73.64% ( 0.14) |
| St Polten Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.17% ( -0.22) | 36.83% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.38% ( -0.22) | 73.62% ( 0.22) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.79% ( -0.01) | 20.21% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.48% ( -0.02) | 52.52% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Polten Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 1-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 23.64% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.93% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.07% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 51.35% |
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