SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 60.02%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 21% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.26%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 2-1 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Barcelona Women |
21% ( -1.13) | 18.97% ( 0) | 60.02% ( 1.13) |
| Both teams to score 67.94% ( -1.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.65% ( -1.59) | 27.35% ( 1.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.08% ( -2.02) | 47.92% ( 2.02) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% ( -1.83) | 25.25% ( 1.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40% ( -2.58) | 60% ( 2.59) |
| Barcelona Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.89% ( -0.21) | 9.11% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.06% ( -0.52) | 30.94% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Barcelona Women |
| 2-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.18% Total : 21.01% | 1-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.54% Total : 18.97% | 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 7.26% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.5)0-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.47)0-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.35)2-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 4.35% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 3.16% ( 0.18)2-4 @ 2.99% ( -0.15)1-5 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.51% ( 0.07)2-5 @ 1.43% ( -0.08)3-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.15)Other @ 4.42% Total : 60.02% |
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