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Women's European Championship | Group Stage
Jul 12, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadium mk

Denmark Women
1 - 0
Finland Women

Mosegaard-Harder (72')
Sevecke (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Germany Women 4-0 Denmark Women
Friday, July 8 at 8pm in Women's European Championship
Last Six:
Last Game: Spain Women 4-1 Finland Women
Friday, July 8 at 5pm in Women's European Championship

We said: Denmark Women 3-1 Finland Women

Both teams will be desperate to clinch all three points after struggling in their respective group openers, but with previous head-to-head results favouring Denmark, we think that Songergaard's side will prove too strong for Finland on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark Women win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Finland Women had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Finland Women win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Denmark Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Denmark Women.

Result
Denmark WomenDrawFinland Women
47.51% (-0.191 -0.19) 24.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 27.53% (0.172 0.17)
Both teams to score 54.16% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.31% (0.040999999999997 0.04)48.69% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.19% (0.035 0.04)70.8% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Denmark Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)20.53% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96% (-0.104 -0.1)53.03% (0.102 0.1)
Finland Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.15% (0.155 0.16)31.84% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.71% (0.176 0.18)68.28% (-0.178 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Denmark Women 47.51%
    Finland Women 27.53%
    Draw 24.95%
Denmark WomenDrawFinland Women
1-0 @ 10.35% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.19% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 47.51%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 27.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Germany Women 4-0 Denmark Women
Friday, July 8 at 8pm in Women's European Championship
Last Game: Spain Women 4-1 Finland Women
Friday, July 8 at 5pm in Women's European Championship


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