With only two places separating the sides in the FIFA World Rankings, there is not much to separate the two nations, and we think an entertaining contest on Tuesday could result in the spoils being shared.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Women win with a probability of 52.84%. A win for Spain Women had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Spain Women win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany Women would win this match.
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