Although Portugal showed great character to clinch a 2-2 draw in their opening game, we think they will be edged out by the defending champions, who have bundles of quality in their squad.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Women win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Portugal Women had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Portugal Women win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands Women would win this match.
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