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Olympic Games Women's Football | Quarter-Finals
Jul 30, 2021 at 12pm UK
Nissan Stadium
UN

N'lands Women
2 - 2
USA Women

USA Women win 4-2 on penalties
Miedema (18', 54')
van de Donk (90+4')
FT
(aet)
Mewis (28'), Williams (31')
Horan (77'), O'Hara (115')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Women win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for USA Women had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.22%) and 3-2 (4.78%). The likeliest USA Women win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.05%).

Result
Netherlands WomenDrawUSA Women
42.18%21.23%36.59%
Both teams to score 72.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.2%26.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.76%47.24%
Netherlands Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.1%13.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.68%41.32%
USA Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.99%16.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.65%45.35%
Score Analysis
    Netherlands Women 42.18%
    USA Women 36.59%
    Draw 21.23%
Netherlands WomenDrawUSA Women
2-1 @ 7.94%
3-1 @ 5.22%
3-2 @ 4.78%
1-0 @ 4.39%
2-0 @ 4.33%
3-0 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 2.58%
4-2 @ 2.36%
4-3 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.41%
5-1 @ 1.02%
5-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 42.18%
1-1 @ 8.05%
2-2 @ 7.27%
3-3 @ 2.92%
0-0 @ 2.23%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.23%
1-2 @ 7.37%
1-3 @ 4.5%
2-3 @ 4.44%
0-1 @ 4.08%
0-2 @ 3.73%
0-3 @ 2.28%
1-4 @ 2.06%
2-4 @ 2.03%
3-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 36.59%

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