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Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 24, 2021 at 12pm UK
Miyagi Stadium

N'lands Women
3 - 3
Brazil Women

Miedema (3', 59'), Bloodworth (79')
van der Gragt (64'), Roord (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Debinha (17'), Marta (64' pen.), Ludmila (68')
Ludmila (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Women win with a probability of 56.42%. A win for Brazil Women had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.86%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Brazil Women win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Netherlands WomenDrawBrazil Women
56.42%20.27%23.31%
Both teams to score 66.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.24%30.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.9%52.1%
Netherlands Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.96%11.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.63%35.37%
Brazil Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57%25.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75%60.25%
Score Analysis
    Netherlands Women 56.42%
    Brazil Women 23.32%
    Draw 20.27%
Netherlands WomenDrawBrazil Women
2-1 @ 9.33%
3-1 @ 6.86%
2-0 @ 6.82%
1-0 @ 6.19%
3-0 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 4.69%
4-1 @ 3.78%
4-0 @ 2.76%
4-2 @ 2.59%
5-1 @ 1.67%
5-0 @ 1.22%
4-3 @ 1.18%
5-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 56.42%
1-1 @ 8.47%
2-2 @ 6.39%
0-0 @ 2.81%
3-3 @ 2.14%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 20.27%
1-2 @ 5.8%
0-1 @ 3.84%
2-3 @ 2.92%
1-3 @ 2.65%
0-2 @ 2.63%
0-3 @ 1.2%
2-4 @ 1%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 23.32%

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