Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Women win with a probability of 56.42%. A win for Brazil Women had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.86%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Brazil Women win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.