Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 64.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Manchester United Women win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
