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Women's Super League | Gameweek 8
Feb 28, 2021 at 2pm UK
Trevor Brown Memorial Ground

Aston Villa
0 - 4
Arsenal Women


Hanssen (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Miedema (58'), Nobbs (67'), McCabe (73'), Evans (88')
Coverage of the Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Arsenal Women.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 16.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawArsenal Women
16.84%20.05%63.1%
Both teams to score 55.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.37%39.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.02%61.99%
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.21%36.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.42%73.59%
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.03%11.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.62%37.38%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 16.84%
    Arsenal Women 63.1%
    Draw 20.05%
Aston Villa WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 4.67%
1-0 @ 4.4%
2-0 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 1.65%
3-1 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 16.84%
1-1 @ 9.35%
2-2 @ 4.96%
0-0 @ 4.41%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.05%
0-2 @ 9.92%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-1 @ 9.35%
0-3 @ 7.02%
1-3 @ 7.02%
0-4 @ 3.73%
1-4 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 3.51%
2-4 @ 1.86%
0-5 @ 1.58%
1-5 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 63.1%

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