SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Bristol City Women win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
29.79% ( -0.08) | 23.01% ( 0.09) | 47.19% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 62.49% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.55% ( -0.47) | 38.44% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.26% ( -0.5) | 60.73% ( 0.5) |
| Bristol City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.96% ( -0.29) | 25.03% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.29% ( -0.4) | 59.7% ( 0.4) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.36% ( -0.18) | 16.64% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.52% ( -0.33) | 46.47% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.79% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 5.55% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.8% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.35% Total : 47.19% |
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