Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City Women win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 1-0 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City Women would win this match.