SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Bristol City Women win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
23.98% ( 0.29) | 22.55% ( -0.01) | 53.47% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 58.74% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.96% ( 0.35) | 41.04% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.56% ( 0.36) | 63.43% ( -0.36) |
| Bristol City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% ( 0.43) | 30.59% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.17% ( 0.51) | 66.82% ( -0.51) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.63% ( 0.03) | 15.36% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.85% ( 0.05) | 44.14% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
| 2-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.91% Total : 23.98% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.55% | 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 6.1% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.86% 0-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0)0-5 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 53.47% |
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