Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Bristol City Women win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
