Women's Super League | Gameweek 18
May 10, 2023 at 7pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park
We said: Chelsea Women 4-0 Leicester Women
Although Leicester gave a good account of themselves against Arsenal, they have tended to struggle in recent meetings with Chelsea, and we think that the reigning WSL champions will record a comfortable victory to continue their title charge.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 92.07%. A draw had a probability of 6% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 1.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.44%) and 2-0 (11.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.86%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 0-1 (0.81%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result |
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Leicester Women |
92.07% ( 2.29) | 6.04% ( -1.46) | 1.89% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 33.38% ( -3.87) |
| 75.47% ( 2.04) | 24.53% ( -2.04) |
| 55.69% ( 2.64) | 44.31% ( -2.65) |
| 97.07% ( 0.64) | 2.93% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 86.72% ( 2.21) | 13.28% ( -2.21) |
| 34.39% ( -4.25) | 65.61% ( 4.25) |
