Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 85.23%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 4.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.24%) and 4-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.98%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 0-1 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.