Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 84.97%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 5.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 4-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.53%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (1.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.