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Women's Super League | Gameweek 4
Oct 11, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park

Chelsea Women
3 - 1
Man City Women

Naevdal Mjelde (36' pen.), Kerr (57'), Kirby (79')
Bright (33'), Naevdal Mjelde (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kelly (73' pen.)
White (36'), Mewis (45+3')
Coverage of the Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Manchester City Women.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawManchester City Women
44.52%25.08%30.4%
Both teams to score 55.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4%47.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.2%69.8%
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6%21.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.61%54.39%
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79%29.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.84%65.16%
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 44.52%
    Manchester City Women 30.4%
    Draw 25.08%
Chelsea WomenDrawManchester City Women
1-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 7.43%
3-1 @ 4.7%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.89%
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 44.52%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.69%
1-2 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 4.73%
1-3 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.94%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.4%


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