Man United will be lifted by a big result last weekend against a fellow top-three contender, and they will be confident of taking three points against Villa, who are struggling to find good form.
Another clean sheet for the hosts is likely given Villa's lack of goal power so far this season, while Man United should be able to find a way past Villa's defence.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 53.92%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 23.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
