Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Reading Women had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Reading Women win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester United Women in this match.