With both desperate to claim three points, we expect Friday's contest to be filled with tension, but we think that Haiti could utilise the quality of players like Dumornay to claim a narrow win over China.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China PR Women win with a probability of 68.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Haiti Women had a probability of 13.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a China PR Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Haiti Women win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that China PR Women would win this match.
-0.26) 
0.15) 
