Although Sweden have won only one of their last five matches, we think that they will prove too strong for South Africa and begin their World Cup campaign with a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 92.11%. A draw had a probability of 6.2% and a win for South Africa Women had a probability of 1.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.42%) and 4-0 (12.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.85%), while for a South Africa Women win it was 0-1 (0.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.

Result
Sweden Women	Draw	South Africa Women
92.11% ( -0.19)	6.17% ( 0.13)	1.72% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 29.31% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.53% (

-0.22)

27.48% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.91% (

-0.28)

48.09% (

0.28)

Sweden Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.67% (

-0.06)

3.33% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

85.35% (

-0.21)

14.65% (

0.22)

South Africa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

30.32% (

0.39)

69.69% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

5.15% (

0.14)

94.86% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Sweden Women 92.09%

South Africa Women 1.72%

Draw 6.17%

Sweden Women	Draw	South Africa Women
3-0 @ 15.22% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 13.42% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 12.95% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 5% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 3.19% ( 0) 7-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.06) 6-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 8-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.31% Total : 92.09%	1-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.01% Total : 6.17%	Other @ 1.72% Total : 1.72%