Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 52.03%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.37%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for an Andorra win it was 1-0 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.
