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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
HN

San Marino
0 - 3
Hungary


Rossi (19'), Fabbri (20'), Lunadei (36'), Battistini (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Szalai (13' pen.), Sallai (71'), Nikolic (88' pen.)
Cseri (30'), Botka (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 59.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 17.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.

Result
San MarinoDrawHungary
17.62%23.22%59.16%
Both teams to score 47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.08%51.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33%73.66%
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.8%43.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.54%79.46%
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76%17.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.45%47.55%
Score Analysis
    San Marino 17.62%
    Hungary 59.15%
    Draw 23.22%
San MarinoDrawHungary
1-0 @ 6.25%
2-1 @ 4.61%
2-0 @ 2.62%
3-1 @ 1.29%
3-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 17.62%
1-1 @ 10.99%
0-0 @ 7.45%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 13.09%
0-2 @ 11.5%
1-2 @ 9.66%
0-3 @ 6.74%
1-3 @ 5.66%
0-4 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 2.38%
2-4 @ 1.04%
0-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 59.15%

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