Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Bahamas and Saint Kitts and Nevis.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahamas win with a probability of 71.8%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 12.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahamas win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 3-0 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 1-2 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
