Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 78.27%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 7.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.15%) and 0-1 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.79%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.