Argentina
1 - 0
Ecuador

Messi (13' pen.)
Paredes (21'), Otamendi (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Valencia (43')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - South America Group Stage clash between Argentina and Ecuador.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 15.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.84%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentina in this match.

Result
Argentina	Draw	Ecuador
59.76%	24.33%	15.91%

Both teams to score 40.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.64%

58.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.03%

78.97%

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.58%

19.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.76%

51.24%

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.74%

49.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.86%

84.14%

Score Analysis

Argentina 59.75%

Ecuador 15.91%

Draw 24.33%

Argentina	Draw	Ecuador
1-0 @ 15.67% 2-0 @ 12.84% 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 4.97% 4-0 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.76% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.54% Total : 59.75%	1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 9.56% 2-2 @ 3.22% Other @ 0.45% Total : 24.33%	0-1 @ 6.77% 1-2 @ 3.93% 0-2 @ 2.4% 1-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.88% Total : 15.91%