Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between British Virgin Islands and Guatemala.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 78.35%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 8.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.67%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for a British Virgin Islands win it was 2-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.
