Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Algeria had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Algeria win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
