Canada
5 - 1
Bermuda

Larin (19', 27', 69'), Laryea (53'), Corbneau (81')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Crichlow (63')
Bather (47')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Canada and Bermuda.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 76.05%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Bermuda had a probability of 9.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.46%), while for a Bermuda win it was 1-2 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result
Canada	Draw	Bermuda
76.05%	14.32%	9.62%

Both teams to score 55.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.4%

29.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.29%

50.71%

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.56%

6.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.91%

24.08%

Bermuda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.15%

40.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.58%

77.41%

Score Analysis

Canada 76.06%

Bermuda 9.62%

Draw 14.32%

Canada	Draw	Bermuda
2-0 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 9.05% 2-1 @ 8.86% 3-1 @ 8.1% 1-0 @ 7.21% 4-0 @ 6.21% 4-1 @ 5.56% 3-2 @ 3.63% 5-0 @ 3.41% 5-1 @ 3.05% 4-2 @ 2.49% 6-0 @ 1.56% 6-1 @ 1.4% 5-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 4.27% Total : 76.06%	1-1 @ 6.46% 2-2 @ 3.97% 0-0 @ 2.63% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.18% Total : 14.32%	1-2 @ 2.89% 0-1 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.18% 0-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.15% Total : 9.62%