Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 76.05%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Bermuda had a probability of 9.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.46%), while for a Bermuda win it was 1-2 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.
