Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Liberia had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Liberia win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
