Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 57.19%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.
