Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.